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Home Prices Decline
Article published 03.10.07
By James R. Hagerty
Wall Street Journal Online

Home prices declined from a year earlier in about half of all metropolitan areas in the fourth quarter, the National Association of Realtors reported.

It was the first time the trade group has recorded declining or unchanged prices in
the majority of cities covered since it began collecting the data in 1979, a Realtors spokesman said.

On a national basis, the median home price during the quarter was $219,300, down 2.7% from a year earlier. Prices began falling in many areas last year after a boom that pushed prices up at double-digit annual rates in much of the country in the first half of this decade.

In the latest quarter, the median price declined in 73 metro areas, increased in 71
and was flat in five. The biggest decrease was in the Sarasota-Bradenton-Venice
area of Florida, down 18% from a year before. Many of the biggest decliners were
in Florida, where a glut of new condominiums is weighing on the market, and in Rust Belt cities like Youngstown and Toledo, Ohio, hurt by shrinking industrial
employment.

The biggest increase was in Atlantic City, N.J., up 26%. Paul Striefsky, a broker at Vanguard Property Group, which operates in the Atlantic City area, said a new wave
of upscale casino-related development has brought in more buyers of both second homes and primary residences.

Older homes in Atlantic City are being replaced by much more expensive ones, skewing the price data, added Jeffrey Otteau, president of Otteau Valuation Group Inc., an appraisal firm in East Brunswick, N.J. Many in the housing industry hope
prices will level off or start edging up by this year's second half. Employment
remains fairly strong and mortgage rates low. "Hopefully, the fourth quarter was
the bottom of this current business cycle," said David Lereah, the Realtors' chief economist.

But a glut of new homes continues to weigh on prices in many areas, and lenders
are becoming more stringent in their credit standards amid a rise in late payments
and defaults. Those defaults are expected to increase the supply of foreclosed
homes dumped on the market. The tougher credit standards will prevent some potential buyers from obtaining loans.

Meanwhile, the National Association of Home Builders said its index for sales of new single-family homes, a measure of confidence among builders, rose to 40 in
February from 35 in January. The latest reading was the highest since June.

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